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Inflation Calculator — Future Value of Money

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Investment Return Calculator

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The investment return calculator measures the performance of any investment — stocks, real estate, a business, or a whole portfolio — by computing total return, total gain, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR). These three metrics tell you, in complementary ways, how much your money grew and how fast it compounded.

Total return is the simple percentage gain; CAGR annualizes it so you can compare investments held for different lengths of time. A 100% gain over 2 years is impressive; the same 100% gain over 20 years is not. CAGR reveals that distinction — a 41.4% CAGR versus a 3.5% CAGR. Whether you are evaluating a single stock, your full portfolio, or comparing two funds, CAGR is the apples-to-apples number financial professionals use. The calculator also shows the simple annualized return (total return divided by years) alongside CAGR — the gap between the two reveals how much volatility drag affected your investment, an insight invisible in a single headline number.

How This Calculator Works

Three related but distinct metrics describe investment performance:

Total Return % = (Final Value − Initial Value) ÷ Initial Value × 100

Total Gain = Final Value − Initial Value

CAGR = (Final Value ÷ Initial Value)1/n − 1

Where n = number of years (can be fractional). Total return answers "how much did I make?" — it ignores time. CAGR answers "how fast did it compound?" — it normalizes for time so you can compare investments held over different horizons.

Why CAGR matters: an investment that doubles in 5 years has a 100% total return but a 14.9% CAGR. The same doubling over 10 years is still 100% total return but only 7.2% CAGR. Comparing total returns across different time periods is meaningless; comparing CAGRs is the standard approach.

For investments with multiple cash flows, use Internal Rate of Return (IRR), not CAGR.

CAGR assumes a single initial investment with no additions or withdrawals. If you added money along the way (like a 401(k) with monthly contributions), CAGR will understate true performance — use IRR or money-weighted return instead. Most brokerage statements report time-weighted return, which isolates investment performance from cash-flow timing.

Doubling time ≈ 72 ÷ CAGR (in %)

Sanity check: at 10% CAGR, money doubles in about 7.2 years. At 7%, about 10.3 years. The S&P 500 has compounded at about 10% nominal since 1926, doubling roughly every 7 years. After inflation (about 3%), real CAGR is about 7%, doubling every 10 years. Always compare your CAGR to a relevant benchmark — the S&P 500 for U.S. stocks, the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate for bonds, or a 60/40 blend. Outperforming by 1%–2% annually over a decade is exceptional; underperforming by 2%+ suggests high fees, poor allocation, or emotional trading. When comparing investments, always match the time horizon: a 3-year CAGR of 25% (common in bull markets) is not sustainable, while a 20-year CAGR of 10% is exceptional. Short-period CAGRs are noisy and should not be extrapolated as reliable predictors of future performance.

When to Use This Calculator

Use this calculator when you want to:

  • Evaluate the performance of a stock, fund, or property you bought and later sold
  • Compare two investments held for different time periods on an apples-to-apples basis
  • Benchmark your portfolio against the S&P 500 or other market index
  • Decide whether to hold or sell — is the realized return worth the risk taken?
  • Calculate the annualized return on a business investment or real estate flip
  • Teach children or partners how compounding works over different horizons
  • Calculate the annualized return on a home purchased years ago and recently sold
  • Evaluate whether an actively managed fund justifies its fees versus an index fund

For ongoing investments with regular contributions (like a 401k or SIP), use our compound interest or retirement calculator instead — this tool is best for single buy-and-sell transactions where you know the start value, end value, and holding period. For investments with multiple cash flows (rental income, dividends, ongoing costs), use IRR rather than CAGR for an accurate return figure.

Example Calculation

You bought 200 shares of a stock at $45 per share on January 2, 2018 (total $9,000) and sold them on January 2, 2024 at $87 per share (total $17,400), six years later.

  • Initial investment: $9,000
  • Final value: $17,400
  • Total gain: $17,400 − $9,000 = $8,400
  • Total return: $8,400 ÷ $9,000 × 100 = 93.3%
  • CAGR: (17,400 ÷ 9,000)1/6 − 1 = (1.933)0.1667 − 1 ≈ 11.6%

So you nearly doubled your money in six years, compounding at 11.6% per year — comfortably ahead of the S&P 500's long-run average of about 10%.

For comparison: the S&P 500 returned about 13.5% annualized over the same 2018–2024 window, so this investment slightly underperformed a passive index fund. A 10-year U.S. Treasury bought in 2018 yielded about 2.9% — far less, but with zero volatility. A savings account at 2% APY would have grown $9,000 to about $10,134 over 6 years — a $1,134 gain versus your $8,400 gain. This is why risk premiums exist: stocks return more than bonds, which return more than cash, but with correspondingly higher volatility. CAGR lets you compare them all on the same scale.

If you had instead invested the $9,000 in an S&P 500 index fund, you would have earned about 13.5% annualized over the same period — turning $9,000 into about $19,400, a gain of $10,400 versus your $8,400. The index fund would have beaten your individual stock pick with lower risk (diversification) and lower effort. This is why many financial advisors recommend passive index investing for most retail investors: beating the market over multi-year periods is extremely difficult, even for professionals, and individual stock picks carry concentrated risk that diversified funds do not.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between total return and CAGR?

Total return is the percentage gain over the entire holding period, ignoring how long it took. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) annualizes that return, showing what constant annual rate would produce the same final value. A 100% total return over 2 years is a 41.4% CAGR; over 20 years it is a 3.5% CAGR. Use CAGR to compare investments held for different periods.

Does CAGR account for dividends?

Only if you include reinvested dividends in the final value. A stock that goes from $100 to $120 with no dividends has a 20% total return. The same stock with $5 in dividends reinvested (final value $125) has a 25% total return. Always include reinvested dividends — ignoring them understates returns by 1.5%–2.5% annually for U.S. equities, which can be the difference between beating and lagging the index.

What is a good CAGR?

Context matters. For U.S. large-cap stocks, 10% nominal is the long-run benchmark. For bonds, 4%–5%. For real estate, 8%–10% with leverage. For a diversified 60/40 portfolio, 7%–8% nominal. Beating the relevant benchmark by 1%–2% annually over a decade is exceptional; anything beyond that over a long period usually involves luck, leverage, or hidden risk. Be skeptical of strategies claiming consistent 20%+ CAGRs.

How is CAGR different from IRR?

CAGR assumes a single upfront investment with no additions or withdrawals. IRR (internal rate of return) handles multiple cash flows at different times — exactly what a 401(k) with monthly contributions needs. IRR is money-weighted (depends on when you added or removed money); CAGR is time-weighted (isolates investment performance from cash-flow timing). Use CAGR for buy-and-sell comparisons; use IRR for ongoing savings.

Can CAGR be negative?

Yes. If final value is below initial value, CAGR is negative — your investment lost money on an annualized basis. A portfolio that drops from $100,000 to $70,000 over 3 years has a CAGR of about −11.2%. Note that recovering from a 50% loss requires a 100% gain, which is why drawdowns are so damaging — this asymmetry is called "volatility drag."

What is volatility drag?

When returns are volatile, the arithmetic mean overstates the actual compounded growth. A portfolio that gains 50% one year and loses 50% the next averages 0% arithmetic return, but the geometric (compounded) return is −25% ($100 → $150 → $75). The gap between arithmetic and geometric mean is the volatility drag, approximately half the variance of returns. This is why lower-volatility portfolios often compound better in practice than the arithmetic averages suggest.

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Important Disclaimer:

This inflation calculator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, legal or investment advice. Results are estimates based on the inputs you provide and standard formulas; actual figures may vary due to rounding, jurisdiction-specific rules, fees, or changing market conditions. Always consult a licensed financial advisor, tax professional, or legal counsel before making decisions based on these calculations. See our full Disclaimer.

R
Rachel Hammond
CFP® — Certified Financial Planner

Rachel is a Certified Financial Planner with over 14 years of experience guiding individuals and families through tax planning, retirement strategy and investment management. She holds a degree in Economics from the University of Michigan and has been quoted in Forbes, CNBC and The Wall Street Journal.

CFP® Certified 14+ years experience Quoted in Forbes & CNBC